Recent polling indicates that the Albanese government is maintaining a solid lead over the Coalition, primarily bolstered by support from female voters. According to a Roy Morgan survey of 1,500 participants conducted last week, Labor’s primary support holds steady at 30 per cent.
Notably, One Nation’s support has increased by 3 per cent, reaching 24.5 per cent, while the Coalition has faced a slight decline of 1.5 per cent, landing at 22.5 per cent. The Greens have also seen a minor improvement, rising to 12.5 per cent.
The two-party preferred voting intentions show Labor at 56 per cent, comfortably ahead of the Coalition at 44 per cent, with both figures remaining unchanged. When preferences are allocated based on the results of last year’s federal election, Labor’s advantage narrows to 54 per cent against the Coalition’s 46 per cent.
Gender-specific results reveal strong backing for Labor among women, who favour the party by a margin of 61 per cent to 39 per cent for the Coalition, reflecting a substantial gain of 3.5 per cent for Labor since the last polling. In contrast, the two-party preferred support among men is evenly split, with both parties at 50 per cent.
Among male voters, One Nation has gained 2.5 per cent, making it the most popular choice for primary votes at 29.5 per cent, while Labor’s primary support has decreased to 28 per cent. The Coalition’s primary backing has seen a slight uptick, now sitting at 23 per cent.
Overall, should a federal election occur now, the results suggest that Labor would retain a clear majority under either voting method, positioning them strongly in the current political landscape.
This snapshot of voter sentiments underscores the significant role of female voters in the ongoing support for Labor, highlighting the potential impact on future elections.