Residents in northern New South Wales (NSW) have been warned to brace for a potential evacuation as Cyclone Alfred approaches the region from the east. The Bureau of Meteorology has indicated that areas from Double Island Point to Grafton could experience strong gale-force winds overnight into Thursday, with Brisbane expected to bear the brunt of the category 2 cyclone. However, the cyclone’s landfall may occur later than initially anticipated.
Cyclone Alfred, marking the first cyclone to strike this far south in fifty years, is projected to unleash wind gusts reaching up to 155 km/h near its centre, with widespread gusts of 120 km/h across the warning area. A significant concern for many residents is the potential for severe flooding, especially south of the cyclone’s eye, where rainfall could accumulate to 300 to 400 millimetres within a single day, compounded by dangerously high tides.
At 7pm local time, Cyclone Alfred was located approximately 365 kilometres east of Brisbane, moving north-west at a sluggish pace of 7 km/h, which may result in its landfall being delayed until Friday. Prolonged rainfall from slow-moving cyclones often leads to extensive flooding as heavy precipitation accumulates over the same areas.
Weather forecasts suggest that the cyclone may intensify to a category 3 just before it impacts land. Local authorities have alerted the residents of various caravan parks and vulnerable regions in NSW, including Pottsville and Hastings Point, to prepare for evacuation. Many tourists have left, while some locals remain behind, citing a lack of alternative accommodation. Local preparations have included securing properties and moving outdoor items.
Flood warnings are in effect for several regions, with significant flooding predicted for areas like the Bellinger River, particularly Thora and Bellingen, and minor flooding possible at nearby Repton. Coastal residents across the Gold Coast have also been advised to prepare for flooding, with alerts extending to about 6,000 properties.
Authorities, including Queensland Premier David Crisafulli, have confirmed that measures are in place for community safety, aiming for a smooth recovery process post-event. Public transport services may cease operations on Friday, although earlier suspension is possible if conditions deteriorate rapidly. Meanwhile, NSW Premier Chris Minns has been visiting affected areas, like Lismore, to oversee emergency operations in anticipation of potential impacts from the cyclone.
With forecasts indicating up to 800 millimetres of rain over the coming days, there are concerns about the capacity of local flood defences, especially given the town’s history with flooding. Evacuation centres are being established, and additional State Emergency Service (SES) personnel have been deployed to manage the situation. Residents are encouraged to stay informed and prepared for the approaching cyclone.