In a significant shift in Australian politics, Peter Dutton, the long-standing Liberal MP for Dickson, has been unseated by Labor’s Ali France, a single mother and disability advocate. France, the daughter of former Queensland Labor MP Peter Lawlor, managed to secure a notable victory for Labor, who is now poised to hold at least 88 seats in the House of Representatives under Prime Minister Anthony Albanese. This electoral outcome signals a substantial decline for the Liberal Party, particularly in urban centres, where they have faced increased competition from independent candidates and the ‘teal’ movement.
Political analyst Charles Croucher has emphasised that this “huge loss” serves as a crucial lesson for the Liberal Party, which must recognise the need for a new approach and leadership to provide a robust opposition for the country. This shift in dynamics raises questions about who will step into the leadership role following Dutton’s resignation.
Several individuals are emerging as contenders for the opposition leadership. Among them is Angus Taylor, who has been serving as Dutton’s shadow treasurer and was previously the energy minister in the Morrison government. Taylor has represented the seat of Hume since 2013, but his association with the recent campaign, which ended in disaster for the Coalition, could dampen his prospects.
Another strong candidate is Andrew Hastie, a former SAS soldier and Dutton’s shadow defence minister, who has been the Member for Canning in Western Australia since 2015. Despite his military background and strong credentials, his Western Australian constituency may hinder his chances as a national leader.
Sussan Ley, the deputy Liberal leader and opposition leader since May 2022, offers a stabilising presence within the party, having represented the rural seat of Farrer since 2001 and holding various ministerial roles across multiple governments. Her steady leadership could be a unifying factor for the Liberals during this tumultuous period.
Dan Tehan, the shadow immigration minister, also remains a prominent figure. He recently won a competitive race in his Victorian electorate of Wannon against the high-profile independent candidate Alex Dyson. Tehan’s experience includes roles as minister for education and previously holding defence and veterans affairs portfolios, adding to his credentials within the party.
As the Liberal Party navigates these changes, the future direction of the opposition will largely depend on the leadership choices made in the aftermath of Dutton’s exit. The party faces the challenge of revitalising its image and reconnecting with voters to reclaim its standing in Australian politics.