In recent discussions surrounding Iran’s nuclear programme, former US President Donald Trump conveyed optimism about the potential for an agreement to be reached in the coming weeks. Trump stated that he has urged Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to refrain from conducting military strikes on Iran, suggesting that doing so might jeopardise ongoing negotiations aimed at forming a new nuclear deal.
While Trump remains hopeful about the intentions to secure an agreement, he acknowledged that situations could rapidly change based on further communications. His remarks came shortly before the head of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Rafael Mariano Grossi, expressed a cautious outlook on the negotiations. He conveyed that while the outcome remains uncertain, the continuation of discussions is a positive signal, reflecting a willingness on both sides to reach an understanding.
Grossi is actively engaged with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and US Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff on this issue. He also disclosed that one of his deputies was in Tehran, monitoring Iran’s nuclear activities, particularly as the country enriches uranium up to 60 per cent purity—a step away from weapons-grade levels.
As discussions progress, Trump has reiterated the United States’ willingness to negotiate, and a potential deal might see the lifting of certain economic sanctions imposed on Iran in exchange for limitations to its nuclear programme. Despite these overtures, Iranian officials have dismissed claims of receiving any formal US proposal regarding the negotiations.
Iran, under pressure, has signalled its readiness to pursue a more aggressive nuclear agenda if an agreement fails. Key Iranian military figures have issued stern warnings about the readiness of their forces in the event that the US missteps during the negotiations. However, Grossi maintains that there is always a pathway to a resolution and emphasises the necessity of thorough investigations by the UN to ensure compliance and trust.
In this intricate geopolitical landscape, both Trump and Grossi’s statements highlight the nuanced balance of urging diplomatic engagement while recognising the ongoing tensions that could swiftly escalate if not managed carefully. The next steps in negotiations between Iran and the US, along with the involvement of international monitoring agencies, will be critical in determining the future of nuclear non-proliferation in the region.