The emergence of teal independents indicates they are establishing themselves as a significant political force, poised to secure multiple seats in the upcoming 2025 federal election. Incumbents, including Helen Haines in Indi (Victoria) and Andrew Wilkie in Clark (Tasmania), were quickly confirmed as winners in what are considered safe seats.
In New South Wales, independent Zali Steggall successfully held onto her Warringah seat. Moreover, Allegra Spender in Wentworth and Sophie Scamps in Mackellar are expected to achieve victory, reinforcing the independents’ presence in the region.
As the campaign progresses, the independents aim to maintain their existing foothold in key areas, including Curtin (WA), Goldstein and Kooyong (Victoria), as well as Mackellar, Warringah, and Wentworth (NSW). They are also looking to expand their influence by contesting new seats, such as Bradfield and Cowper in NSW, Flinders in Victoria, McPherson in Queensland, and Wannon in Victoria.
A crucial matter for this election is whether the independents can retain their seats or if any will revert to the Coalition’s support. Monique Ryan, the MP for Kooyong, addressed sceptics who labelled teal candidates as “one-hit wonders,” asserting that there has been a consistent decline in support for major political parties in recent elections.
Ryan remarked on the sentiments within her electorate, indicating prevailing frustrations with both the Albanese-led Labor Party and Peter Dutton’s Coalition. She expressed doubt about any significant shifts in voter loyalty, suggesting that the crossbench may actually expand following the election.
Overall, the independents’ trajectory appears promising as they continue to resonate with voters dissatisfied with the traditional political landscape.