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Prospects for a Trump Tariff Exemption on Australian Steel and Aluminium Diminishing

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Australian steel and aluminium producers are facing imminent challenges in light of Donald Trump’s America First agenda. The imposition of a 25% tariff on over one billion dollars’ worth of exports to the United States is set to commence this week, with hopes of securing an exemption dwindling rapidly.

In a bid to negotiate a tariff exemption before the deadline, Australian officials have engaged in frantic discussions—serving as a form of ‘speed date diplomacy’—with their American counterparts. However, the prospects appear bleak. Despite Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s previous conversation with Trump, during which the president seemed open to considering Australia’s position, recent statements from senior advisers have dampened expectations. Kevin Hassett, director of the National Economic Council, has indicated a distaste for the concept of exemptions, suggesting that Australians may not receive favourable treatment.

Albanese has voiced that an exemption would not only benefit Australia but also serve the economic interests of the United States. Meanwhile, the political landscape is shifting with the incoming Canadian prime minister, Mark Carney, pledging to uphold tariffs against the US until a more respectful dialogue is established. This brewing trade tension adds another layer of uncertainty to Australia’s predicament.

The outcome of Australia’s tariff situation may hinge on the timing and nature of Trump’s final discussions with various international leaders. The president appears largely unconcerned by the potential for tariffs to impact American consumers, asserting that the US will profit significantly from these levies. As the situation develops, producers in Australia remain on edge, closely monitoring the unfolding diplomatic negotiations.

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