Western Australia is set for a pivotal state election today, with results anticipated to favour Labor, potentially securing them a third consecutive term. Liberal leader Libby Mettam has expressed confidence in her party’s ability to mount a challenge, although they would require an extraordinary swing to reclaim power. This comes in the wake of Labor’s historic victory in 2021 when they clinched 53 out of 59 seats, largely credited to the popularity of former Premier Mark McGowan and his pandemic response, representing the largest majority in the state’s history.
The Liberal Party’s performance was notably poor back in 2021, achieving only two seats, significantly trailing the Nationals and relegating them to a minor opposition role. Following McGowan’s resignation in 2023, Roger Cook has taken the helm of both the party and the state.
Despite Cook not having the same high approval ratings as McGowan, he remains the preferred premier over Mettam, with recent polls indicating a substantial lead for Labor at 57-43. While this shows a swing against Labor, it could still enable them to achieve the second-largest majority in state history. The Liberals, in a precarious position, would need a 25 per cent swing to regain government.
As the election day unfolds, Cook has tempered expectations for another overwhelming victory, stating that securing just over 50 per cent would suffice.
Western Australia boasts a robust economy, evidenced by a $3.2 billion surplus last year, projected to continue with a $2.6 billion surplus. Nonetheless, residents are grappling with pressing issues, including a rising cost of living, inadequate housing, and a struggling healthcare system—concerns that Mettam highlighted during her campaign.
Housing affordability is a critical topic, as soaring home prices and rents in Perth present significant challenges. In response, Labor has pledged to increase the stamp duty exemption threshold for first-home buyers. Additionally, ambulance ramping remains a contentious issue, with massive delays reported, reflecting pressures on the state’s healthcare services.
While the expectation leans heavily towards Labor’s continued dominance, the results from this election are being closely monitored, especially in light of the upcoming federal elections. The state Labor’s popularity could bolster Anthony Albanese’s federal government, which had benefitted from similar state successes in 2022. A solid performance by Labor today might reinforce their position in WA, serving as a countermeasure against perceived gains by the opposition at a federal level.
Voting hours are set from 8am to 6pm AWST, with the outcome likely to have wider implications for the political landscape in Australia.