In a remarkable electoral turnaround, Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal Party has secured victory in Canada’s federal election, largely influenced by the hostile stance of US President Donald Trump towards Canada, including his controversial annexation threats and a trade war. While the Liberals are anticipated to secure a greater share of the 343 parliamentary seats compared to the Conservative Party, it remains uncertain whether they have achieved an outright majority, which would enable them to pass legislation independently.
Initially, the Liberals appeared to be heading towards a significant defeat. However, as Trump launched attacks on Canada’s economy and sovereignty—claiming Canada should become the 51st US state—the political narrative shifted. This hostility resonated with Canadian voters, igniting a surge in nationalism that ultimately favoured Carney and his party, allowing them to clinch a fourth consecutive term.
The Conservative Party, led by Pierre Poilievre, hoped to position the election as a referendum on former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, whose popularity waned amid rising food and housing prices. Despite these challenges, the political landscape altered with Carney’s ascension to leadership after Trudeau’s resignation, following Trump’s aggressive rhetoric. On election day, Trump even suggested he was on the ballot, further exacerbating tensions and galvanising voter sentiment against the Conservatives.
Poilievre faced criticism for failing to more vigorously oppose Trump’s antics. He responded with a plea for presidential decorum, stating, “Stay out of our election,” with an emphasis on Canadian sovereignty. The aggressive stance taken by Trump not only galvanised support for the Liberals but also forced the Conservatives onto the back foot.
An unprecedented 7.3 million Canadians cast their votes before election day, which was not only a testament to heightened political engagement but also a reaction to Trump’s provocations. Carney articulated the stakes involved, claiming that Trump’s assertions posed a direct threat to Canada’s independence.
The election unfolded against the backdrop of a tragic incident in Vancouver that momentarily halted campaigning, although police confirmed no terrorist links to the event. Ultimately, despite facing a slew of challenges ahead—including navigating US tariffs that threaten the Canadian economy—Carney and the Liberals have succeeded in weathering both external pressures and internal dissent to secure their position.
As Carney takes charge, he will face the daunting task of addressing the cost-of-living challenges plaguing many Canadians, particularly as Trump’s policies could endanger vital trade links, with over 75% of Canadian exports destined for the US. How Carney navigates these hurdles will be crucial for his government’s future and for maintaining Canada’s economic sovereignty.