The upcoming Farrer by-election presents a significant challenge for One Nation, led by Senator Pauline Hanson, as they aim to capitalize on voter concerns regarding gas exports and the management of the Murray-Darling Basin. With the seat vacated by former opposition leader Sussan Ley, the competition intensifies between One Nation candidate David Farley and Independent Michelle Milthorpe, with the Liberal Party nominating lawyer Raissa Butkowski.
Hanson has voiced her criticism of both major political parties for their handling of water issues, calling for a royal commission to address the ongoing management concerns in the Murray-Darling Basin. She argues that mismanagement of resources has alienated voters in regional areas, creating an opportunity for One Nation to gain traction among discontented constituents.
Farley’s campaign prioritises responsible water management, drawing from his background as a former jackaroo and irrigation specialist. However, his reputation may pose a challenge, especially after criticism from minor party Family First, who have expressed concerns about his past conduct, including controversial social media posts and remarks about former Prime Minister Julia Gillard.
Additionally, gas export policies are pivotal to the farming community, with surveys indicating that over 77% of voters believe Australia exports too much gas. Many constituents wish to see a more equitable distribution of wealth derived from gas exports, linking this issue with the health of the Murray River.
Polling suggests a close race, with the latest results indicating Farley slightly ahead of Milthorpe in primary preferences. Among 1,000 surveyed voters, 28.7% expressed support for One Nation, while Independents attracted 23.3% and the LNP received 19.1%. The outcome will depend on how voters distribute their preferences, highlighting the complexity of this election amidst growing discontent with traditional parties.
As the election approaches, Farley has so far refrained from commenting on these developments. The Farrer by-election is poised to serve as a crucial test for One Nation, reflecting broader voter dissatisfaction with established political norms and the pressing issues of gas and water management in Australia.