Recent US intelligence assessments indicate that Israel may seek to target key Iranian nuclear facilities this year, amidst rising tensions in the Middle East. This aggressive stance contradicts President Trump’s goal of establishing a peace deal with Tehran and raises fears of broader conflict. Previous targeted strikes by Israel on Iranian military sites have escalated tensions further, with Israel now contemplating more extensive military actions aimed at regime change in Iran.
Despite its military aspirations, Israel lacks the capability to execute such strikes without significant US support, including advanced munitions and mid-air refuelling. Trump, who has expressed a preference for diplomacy over military action, aims for a “verified nuclear peace agreement” rather than escalating military operations against Iran.
Israeli officials have recently voiced concerns about taking advantage of Iran’s weakened state, suggesting actions to undermine its nuclear ambitions. However, the Biden administration has curbed discussions regarding military strikes during the transition period following the recent US elections. Israel’s desire for military engagement remains, yet Trump’s diplomatic intents complicate the scenario, especially given the delicate balance at play following the Israel-Hamas conflict. As the situation evolves, the dynamics between military ambitions and diplomatic efforts will shape future interactions with Tehran.